Institute for the Future
Provides foresight research, training and tools for organizations and communities to explore possible futures and act under uncertainty.
90% of weighted axes reviewed. A mechanism hypothesis, not proven effectiveness or a donation recommendation.
Who this work enables
Tools & support for charities: Foresight methods and facilitation resources with documented philanthropy applications.
Humanity’s Checklist source match
Vision — editorial, partial alignment.
Making possible futures discussable and actionable is a partial match to the checklist’s vision theme; it is not the same as building its proposed Vision Market.
Explicit checklist adoption: not verified. A mechanism match is not an affiliation, endorsement, evidence of effectiveness or a scoring bonus. Read the practice.
Focus classification: 2026-10-27. Based on the organization’s dated official sources below; earlier axis-review dates are unchanged.
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The proposed pathway
Shared foresight tools and institutional future-planning capacity
Six dimensions, with rationale
Structural depth
3 / 4Targets recurring institutional planning practices and assumptions rather than forecasting a single event.
Institutional reach
4 / 4The documented work spans public, private and civic organizations across issues; potential reach is broader than a single program.
Durability
2 / 4Planning skills and scenarios can remain useful, but conditions change and foresight practice requires renewal.
Scalability
3 / 4Frameworks and exercises can be reused, while facilitation, training and some proprietary materials constrain access and replication.
Funding additionality
UnreviewedUnknown: a current marginal funding gap, counterfactual and delivery capacity have not been audited.
Community agency
UnreviewedUnknown: participation, open access or stated values do not establish audited consequential decision rights for affected communities.
Evidence and selection
Organization reported; documented official mechanism
Illustrative inclusion to examine this mechanism. Inclusion is not an external recommendation or a verified comparative ranking.
A testable next question
Do organizations using foresight make better robust decisions and sustain useful experiments than comparable teams, rather than merely reporting confidence or producing attractive scenarios?
Review confidence: Moderate for documented design; low for systemic attribution. Current foresight and planning-capacity mechanism, with explicitly historical philanthropy examples; not a rating of forecast accuracy.
What remains uncertain
A compelling scenario or workshop is not a prediction, shared mandate or proven improvement in decisions. Some materials and training are proprietary or restricted; legacy philanthropy resources are labeled historical.
Sources to inspect
- IFTF — current foresight, training and nonprofit identity ↗
official · checked 2026-10-27 - IFTF — philanthropy foresight resources (legacy page) ↗
official · checked 2026-10-27
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Axis review: 2026-10-27 · weighting method v0.2 (2026-10-26) · Method, conflicts and coverage